Why the Sparks +4.5 is a Smart Pick Against the Dream

Why the Sparks +4.5 is a Smart Pick Against the Dream

Posted at: 9/1/2024

The final game of Sunday’s WNBA slate features a clash between the Los Angeles Sparks, who sit at the bottom of the standings, and the Atlanta Dream, who are desperately trying to snag the No. 8 seed in the playoffs. While the Dream have more at stake in this matchup, recent performances and key injuries suggest that the Sparks +4.5 could be the value pick.

Dream’s Recent Struggles

The Dream have lost four straight games, failing to capitalize on opportunities to overtake the Chicago Sky for the final playoff spot. Their recent slump has highlighted some vulnerabilities, particularly in late-game execution, which has kept them from closing out close contests. This struggle, combined with injuries to key players like Aerial Powers and Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, means the Dream are far from a sure bet to win convincingly on the road.

Sparks’ Home-Court Advantage and Momentum

Despite their struggles this season, the Sparks have shown resilience, especially at home where five of their seven wins have come. In their last outing, they stunned the New York Liberty in what was one of the biggest upsets of the season. This victory could be a catalyst for the Sparks, giving them the confidence to push a struggling Dream team to the limit.

Key Player Impact

For the Sparks, rookie Rickea Jackson has been a consistent bright spot, scoring in double figures in nine consecutive games. Her efficient scoring and ability to contribute on both ends of the floor make her a player to watch. On the other side, if Tina Charles suits up for the Dream, she could pose a significant challenge, but it’s unclear how effective she’ll be given her recent day-to-day status.